Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Alex Pereira won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMagomed Ankalaev: Elusive strikervsAlex Pereira: Pressure fighter
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Magomed Ankalaev wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Alex Pereira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Ankalaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Magomed Ankalaev is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alex Pereira has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Alex Pereira is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Magomed Ankalaev has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Alex Pereira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Magomed Ankalaev
Red Corner
VS
Alex Pereira
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
33
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed AnkalaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Thiago Santos · Mar 22W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jul 22W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24W
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24W
vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25Alex Pereira
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Nov 23W
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Apr 24W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 24W
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed AnkalaevMetricAlex Pereira
3.65
Strikes / min
5.16
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
56%
Strike defense
53%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.11
87%
Takedown defense
79%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.06evenly matched on net striking+1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Magomed AnkalaevAlex Pereira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)Alex Pereira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.0-31.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Magomed Ankalaev
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Alex Pereira
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12