Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Magomed Ankalaev won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 30, 2022·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Magomed Ankalaev wins(62.3%)
Actual result: Magomed Ankalaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Magomed Ankalaev is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Magomed Ankalaev has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Magomed Ankalaev has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Magomed Ankalaev
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
-610
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+460
(18%)
33
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed Ankalaev
oldest →latest
W
vs Thiago Santos · Mar 22W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24W
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24W
vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 25Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed AnkalaevMetricAnthony Smith
3.65
Strikes / min
3.19
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
56%
Strike defense
44%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.44
87%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.06Δ 2.91 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Magomed AnkalaevAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-175.0175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Magomed Ankalaev
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25