Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Bruno Lopes won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 11, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMagomed Gadzhiyasulov: WrestlervsBruno Lopes: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Magomed Gadzhiyasulov wins(56.4%)
Actual result: Bruno Lopes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bruno Lopes has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Red Corner
VS
Bruno Lopes
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
oldest →latest
W
vs Brendson Ribeiro · Jun 24Bruno LopesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · May 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed GadzhiyasulovMetricBruno Lopes
2.89
Strikes / min
2.88
1.64
Strikes absorbed / min
4.21
62%
Strike defense
54%
3.67
TDs / 15 min
1.93
61%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.25Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap-1.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Magomed GadzhiyasulovBruno Lopes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov(2 fights)Bruno Lopes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2
Bruno Lopes
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3