Lightweight
3 Rounds
Magomed Mustafaev won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 20, 2019·Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia, Russia
Style matchupMagomed Mustafaev: WrestlervsRafael Fiziev: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Magomed Mustafaev wins(73.4%)
Actual result: Magomed Mustafaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Mustafaev is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Rafael Fiziev has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Rafael Fiziev has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Magomed Mustafaev
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Fiziev
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
37
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed MustafaevL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Piotr Hallmann · Jun 15W
KOvs Joe Proctor · Dec 15L
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Nov 16L
vs Brad Riddell · Feb 20Rafael Fiziev
oldest →latest
L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 23L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Sep 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed MustafaevMetricRafael Fiziev
2.59
Strikes / min
4.71
2.68
Strikes absorbed / min
4.84
41%
Strike defense
49%
3.31
TDs / 15 min
0.83
23%
Takedown defense
90%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Magomed MustafaevRafael Fiziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Mustafaev(5 fights)Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Magomed Mustafaev
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Rafael Fiziev
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12