Middleweight
3 Rounds
Makhmud Muradov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 22, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMakhmud Muradov: WrestlervsBryan Barberena: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Makhmud Muradov wins(52.1%)
Actual result: Makhmud Muradov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Barberena enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Makhmud Muradov has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Makhmud Muradov has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryan Barberena (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Makhmud Muradov
Red Corner
VS
Bryan Barberena
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Makhmud MuradovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Sep 19W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Dec 19W
KOvs Andrew Sanchez · Jan 21L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 21L
vs Caio Borralho · Oct 22Bryan BarberenaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Matt Brown · Mar 22W
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 22L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec 22L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 23L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Makhmud MuradovMetricBryan Barberena
4.21
Strikes / min
5.35
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
61%
Strike defense
44%
3.03
TDs / 15 min
0.13
77%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.64evenly matched on net striking+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Makhmud MuradovBryan Barberena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Makhmud Muradov(6 fights)Bryan Barberena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.215.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Makhmud Muradov
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6
Bryan Barberena
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19