Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Borralho won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 22, 2022·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupMakhmud Muradov: WrestlervsCaio Borralho: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Caio Borralho wins(59.2%)
Actual result: Caio Borralho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Caio Borralho (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Makhmud Muradov
Red Corner
VS
Caio Borralho
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Makhmud Muradov
oldest →latest
W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Sep 19W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Dec 19W
KOvs Andrew Sanchez · Jan 21L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 23Caio Borralho
oldest →latest
W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Makhmud MuradovMetricCaio Borralho
4.21
Strikes / min
3.47
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
61%
Strike defense
60%
3.03
TDs / 15 min
1.25
77%
Takedown defense
76%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.64evenly matched on net striking+0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Makhmud MuradovCaio Borralho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Makhmud Muradov(6 fights)Caio Borralho(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.06.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+315.0-315.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Makhmud Muradov
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6
Caio Borralho
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9