Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Makhmud Muradov won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2019·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Style matchupMakhmud Muradov: WrestlervsTrevor Smith: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Makhmud Muradov wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Makhmud Muradov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Makhmud Muradov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Makhmud Muradov has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Makhmud Muradov
Red Corner
VS
Trevor Smith
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+400
(20%)
36
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Makhmud Muradov
oldest →latest
W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Sep 19W
KOvs Andrew Sanchez · Jan 21L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 21L
vs Caio Borralho · Oct 22W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 23Trevor SmithL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Gigliotti · Aug 16L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · May 18L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Makhmud MuradovMetricTrevor Smith
4.21
Strikes / min
3.29
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
61%
Strike defense
51%
3.03
TDs / 15 min
1.70
77%
Takedown defense
60%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.64Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Makhmud MuradovTrevor Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Makhmud Muradov(6 fights)Trevor Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.8-26.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-287.0287.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.52.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Makhmud Muradov
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6
Trevor Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12