Featherweight
3 Rounds
Lerone Murphy won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 30, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupMakwan Amirkhani: WrestlervsLerone Murphy: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Lerone Murphy wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Lerone Murphy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lerone Murphy has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Makwan Amirkhani
Red Corner
VS
Lerone Murphy
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
37
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Edson Barboza · Oct 20L
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21W
SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22L
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23Lerone Murphy
oldest →latest
W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
vs Dan Ige · Oct 24W
vs Josh Emmett · Apr 25W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Makwan AmirkhaniMetricLerone Murphy
1.33
Strikes / min
4.34
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
46%
Strike defense
60%
3.96
TDs / 15 min
1.20
35%
Takedown defense
44%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.65Δ 3.34 — meaningful gap+1.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Makwan AmirkhaniLerone Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)Lerone Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.611.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-136.0136.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Makwan Amirkhani
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14
Lerone Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10