Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Malcolm Wellmaker won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 14, 2025·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupMalcolm Wellmaker: Pressure fightervsKris Moutinho: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Malcolm Wellmaker wins(72.2%)
Actual result: Malcolm Wellmaker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kris Moutinho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Malcolm Wellmaker is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Kris Moutinho has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Malcolm Wellmaker has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Malcolm Wellmaker has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Wellmaker (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Malcolm Wellmaker
Red Corner
VS
Kris Moutinho
Blue Corner
-1800
(95%)
Vegas Odds
+980
(9%)
31
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Malcolm Wellmaker
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cameron Saaiman · Apr 25L
vs Ethyn Ewing · Nov 25Kris MoutinhoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jul 21L
KOvs Guido Cannetti · Mar 22L
vs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Malcolm WellmakerMetricKris Moutinho
5.80
Strikes / min
3.35
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
9.36
52%
Strike defense
30%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
57%
Takedown defense
30%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 6.42 — meaningful gap-6.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Malcolm WellmakerKris Moutinho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Malcolm Wellmaker(3 fights)Kris Moutinho(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.2-47.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-1141.01141.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Malcolm Wellmaker
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3
Kris Moutinho
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4