Flyweight
3 Rounds
Manel Kape won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 9, 2023·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Manel Kape wins(77.1%)
Actual result: Manel Kape wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manel Kape enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Manel Kape has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Manel Kape has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Manel Kape (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Manel Kape
Red Corner
VS
Felipe dos Santos
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
32
Age
25
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manel KapeW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs David Dvorak · Dec 22L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Jul 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25W
KOvs Brandon Royval · Dec 25Felipe dos SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Victor Altamirano · Feb 24L
vs Andre Lima · Sep 24L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manel KapeMetricFelipe dos Santos
5.04
Strikes / min
3.75
4.08
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
57%
Strike defense
41%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
0.00
81%
Takedown defense
20%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Manel KapeFelipe dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manel Kape(10 fights)Felipe dos Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.9-22.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Manel Kape
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Felipe dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4