Flyweight
3 Rounds
Manel Kape won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 4, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupManel Kape: Pressure fightervsZhalgas Zhumagulov: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Manel Kape wins(79.6%)
Actual result: Manel Kape wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manel Kape enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhalgas Zhumagulov (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Manel Kape
Red Corner
VS
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
32
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manel KapeW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 23L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Jul 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25W
KOvs Brandon Royval · Dec 25Zhalgas ZhumagulovL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Amir Albazi · Jan 21W
SUBvs Jerome Rivera · Jul 21L
vs Jeff Molina · Jun 22L
vs Charles Johnson · Nov 22L
vs Joshua Van · Jun 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manel KapeMetricZhalgas Zhumagulov
5.04
Strikes / min
5.24
4.08
Strikes absorbed / min
5.86
57%
Strike defense
52%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
1.30
81%
Takedown defense
75%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap-0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Manel KapeZhalgas Zhumagulov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manel Kape(10 fights)Zhalgas Zhumagulov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.710.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Manel Kape
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights6