Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Casey Kenney won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2019·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupManny Bermudez: WrestlervsCasey Kenney: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Manny Bermudez wins(67.8%)
Actual result: Casey Kenney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Casey Kenney has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Casey Kenney has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Casey Kenney (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Manny Bermudez
Red Corner
VS
Casey Kenney
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
31
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manny Bermudez
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Albert Morales · Feb 18W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Jul 18W
SUBvs Benito Lopez · Feb 19L
SUBvs Charles Rosa · Oct 19Casey KenneyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Louis Smolka · May 20W
vs Heili Alateng · Oct 20W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 20L
vs Dominick Cruz · Mar 21L
vs Song Yadong · Aug 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manny BermudezMetricCasey Kenney
2.92
Strikes / min
4.85
2.68
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
46%
Strike defense
58%
3.06
TDs / 15 min
1.09
0%
Takedown defense
61%
3.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Manny BermudezCasey Kenney
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manny Bermudez(5 fights)Casey Kenney(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.9-26.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+41.0-41.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Manny Bermudez
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Casey Kenney
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8