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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Upcoming
Elo1521
Manon Fiorot
Elo1512
Alexa Grasso

Manon FiorotvsAlexa GrassoUFC Prediction

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Saturday, September 12, 2026Glendale, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupManon Fiorot: Pressure fightervsAlexa Grasso: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Manon Fiorot has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Manon Fiorot
Red Corner
VS
Alexa Grasso
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1521
Elo
1512
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Manon Fiorot
oldest →
W
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Oct 22
W
vs Rose Namajunas · Sep 23
W
vs Erin Blanchfield · Mar 24
L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25
W
KOvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Oct 25
latest
Alexa Grasso
oldest →
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22
W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23
L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24
L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25
W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Manon FiorotMetricAlexa Grasso
5.66
Strikes / min
4.11
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
66%
Strike defense
58%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
0.40
87%
Takedown defense
54%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.08Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+0.40
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Manon Fiorot(9 fights)Alexa Grasso(10 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO43%

Historical win share: Manon Fiorot earned 38% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission37%

Historical win share: Alexa Grasso earned 22% of wins by submission.

Decision20%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights9

Alexa Grasso

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14