Middleweight
3 Rounds
Mansur Abdul-Malik won · SUB R1
MA
AT
Mansur Abdul-MalikvsAntonio Trocoli
UFC Event · Saturday, December 6, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mansur Abdul-Malik wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Mansur Abdul-Malik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Trocoli enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mansur Abdul-Malik has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mansur Abdul-Malik has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Trocoli
Blue Corner
-1800
(95%)
Vegas Odds
+980
(9%)
28
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'5"
203.2 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mansur Abdul-Malik
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Nov 24W
KOvs Nick Klein · Feb 25D
vs Cody Brundage · Jun 25L
KOvs Yousri Belgaroui · Mar 26Antonio TrocoliL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Shara Magomedov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Tresean Gore · Nov 24L
vs Mantas Kondratavicius · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mansur Abdul-MalikMetricAntonio Trocoli
3.28
Strikes / min
1.27
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
5.30
46%
Strike defense
26%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.88
83%
Takedown defense
42%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.21Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap-4.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mansur Abdul-MalikAntonio Trocoli
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mansur Abdul-Malik(5 fights)Antonio Trocoli(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+69.2-69.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-217.0217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Mansur Abdul-Malik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights5
Antonio Trocoli
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights4