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Middleweight

3 Rounds

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Elo1518

Mansur Abdul-Malik editorial illustration

Elo1485

Mansur Abdul-MalikvsDustin StoltzfusUFC Prediction

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, August 15, 2026Philadelphia, USA

Style matchupMansur Abdul-Malik: Well-roundedvsDustin Stoltzfus: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mansur Abdul-Malik has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Mansur Abdul-Malik has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mansur Abdul-Malik

Red Corner

Dustin Stoltzfus

Blue Corner

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Vegas Odds

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1518

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

203.2 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mansur Abdul-Malik

oldest →

KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Nov 24

KOvs Nick Klein · Feb 25

vs Cody Brundage · Jun 25

SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Dec 25

KOvs Yousri Belgaroui · Mar 26

latest

Dustin StoltzfusL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23

KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 24

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24

vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mansur Abdul-MalikMetricDustin Stoltzfus

3.28

Strikes / min

3.30

4.49

Strikes absorbed / min

3.23

46%

Strike defense

47%

1.65

TDs / 15 min

2.08

83%

Takedown defense

46%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.21Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap+0.07

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mansur Abdul-Malik(5 fights)Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.8|Blue -32.8

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -196.0|Blue +196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO65%

Historical win share: Mansur Abdul-Malik earned 67% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission35%

Historical win share: Dustin Stoltzfus earned 33% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Mansur Abdul-Malik

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights5

Dustin Stoltzfus

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10