Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manuel Torres has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Manuel Torres (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manuel Torres
oldest →W
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 23L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Sep 24W
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 25W
KOvs Grant Dawson · Dec 25L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jun 26 Chris Duncan
oldest →W
SUBvs Bolaji Oki · Sep 24W
SUBvs Jordan Vucenic · Mar 25W
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Aug 25W
SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Dec 25L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manuel TorresMetricChris Duncan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+3.21Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Manuel TorresChris Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manuel Torres(7 fights)Chris Duncan(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -21.1|Blue +21.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Manuel TorresTargetChris Duncan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Manuel Torres edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns2
Control0:42
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
