Lightweight
3 Rounds
Manuel Torres won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 24, 2024·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupManuel Torres: Pressure fightervsChris Duncan: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Manuel Torres wins(63.4%)
Actual result: Manuel Torres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Manuel Torres has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Manuel Torres (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Manuel Torres
Red Corner
VS
Chris Duncan
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+142
(41%)
31
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manuel TorresW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Frank Camacho · May 22W
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 23L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Sep 24W
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 25W
KOvs Grant Dawson · Dec 25Chris DuncanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Yanal Ashmouz · Jul 23W
SUBvs Bolaji Oki · Sep 24W
SUBvs Jordan Vucenic · Mar 25W
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Aug 25W
SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manuel TorresMetricChris Duncan
7.29
Strikes / min
4.83
4.08
Strikes absorbed / min
4.57
54%
Strike defense
50%
1.72
TDs / 15 min
2.92
90%
Takedown defense
55%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.21Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Manuel TorresChris Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manuel Torres(6 fights)Chris Duncan(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.61.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Manuel Torres
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Chris Duncan
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8