Lightweight
3 Rounds
Manuel Torres won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 29, 2025·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupManuel Torres: Pressure fightervsDrew Dober: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Manuel Torres wins(66.3%)
Actual result: Manuel Torres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manuel Torres has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Manuel Torres (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Manuel Torres
Red Corner
VS
Drew Dober
Blue Corner
-124
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+106
(49%)
31
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manuel Torres
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Frank Camacho · May 22W
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 23W
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Feb 24L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Sep 24W
KOvs Grant Dawson · Dec 25Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Oct 23L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manuel TorresMetricDrew Dober
7.29
Strikes / min
4.48
4.08
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
54%
Strike defense
53%
1.72
TDs / 15 min
0.61
90%
Takedown defense
58%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.21Δ 3.06 — meaningful gap+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Manuel TorresDrew Dober
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manuel Torres(6 fights)Drew Dober(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.912.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Manuel Torres
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26