Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Stoltzfus won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2024·Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Style matchupMarc-Andre Barriault: Pressure fightervsDustin Stoltzfus: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Marc-Andre Barriault wins(63.7%)
Actual result: Dustin Stoltzfus wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marc-Andre Barriault has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marc-Andre Barriault
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Stoltzfus
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
36
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marc-Andre BarriaultL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Chris Curtis · Jan 24L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25L
vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25L
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26Dustin StoltzfusL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Abus Magomedov · Sep 22W
SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 24L
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marc-Andre BarriaultMetricDustin Stoltzfus
5.65
Strikes / min
3.30
5.94
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
49%
Strike defense
47%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
2.08
68%
Takedown defense
46%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marc-Andre BarriaultDustin Stoltzfus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.4-34.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Marc-Andre Barriault
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17
Dustin Stoltzfus
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10