Lightweight
3 Rounds
Marc Diakiese won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 16, 2019·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMarc Diakiese: WrestlervsJoe Duffy: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Marc Diakiese wins(61.9%)
Actual result: Marc Diakiese wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Duffy threatens submissions; Marc Diakiese has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Marc Diakiese
Red Corner
VS
Joe Duffy
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
33
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marc Diakiese
oldest →latest
W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Mar 22W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 22L
vs Michael Johnson · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 23W
vs Kaue Fernandes · Nov 23Joe DuffyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 16W
SUBvs Mitch Clarke · Jul 16W
vs Reza Madadi · Mar 17L
KOvs James Vick · Nov 17L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marc DiakieseMetricJoe Duffy
2.54
Strikes / min
2.68
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
52%
Strike defense
54%
3.29
TDs / 15 min
0.96
66%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10evenly matched on net striking-1.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marc DiakieseJoe Duffy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marc Diakiese(10 fights)Joe Duffy(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.928.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-260.0260.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Marc Diakiese
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights14
Joe Duffy
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8