Lightweight
3 Rounds
Marc Diakiese won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 18, 2017·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMarc Diakiese: WrestlervsTeemu Packalen: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Marc Diakiese wins(63.8%)
Actual result: Marc Diakiese wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Teemu Packalen threatens submissions; Marc Diakiese has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Teemu Packalen has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marc Diakiese
Red Corner
VS
Teemu Packalen
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marc Diakiese
oldest →latest
W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Mar 22W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 22L
vs Michael Johnson · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 23W
vs Kaue Fernandes · Nov 23Teemu Packalen
oldest →latest
L
vs Mickael Lebout · Jul 15W
SUBvs Thibault Gouti · Feb 16L
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marc DiakieseMetricTeemu Packalen
2.54
Strikes / min
2.57
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.91
52%
Strike defense
47%
3.29
TDs / 15 min
2.31
66%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marc DiakieseTeemu Packalen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marc Diakiese(10 fights)Teemu Packalen(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.2-34.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-286.0286.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Marc Diakiese
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights14
Teemu Packalen
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4