Welterweight
3 Rounds
Marcelo Guimaraes won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 11, 2012·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcelo Guimaraes: Pressure fightervsDan Stittgen: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Marcelo Guimaraes wins(62.7%)
Actual result: Marcelo Guimaraes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcelo Guimaraes has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dan Stittgen has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marcelo Guimaraes
Red Corner
VS
Dan Stittgen
Blue Corner
-395
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+350
(22%)
42
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
180 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcelo Guimaraes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Hyun Gyu Lim · Mar 13W
vs Andy Enz · Jun 14L
KOvs Vitor Miranda · Mar 16Dan Stittgen
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Feb 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcelo GuimaraesMetricDan Stittgen
4.67
Strikes / min
2.97
4.41
Strikes absorbed / min
4.42
62%
Strike defense
37%
1.99
TDs / 15 min
0.78
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap-1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcelo GuimaraesDan Stittgen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcelo Guimaraes(4 fights)Dan Stittgen(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Marcelo Guimaraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Dan Stittgen
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach—
Fights2