Featherweight
3 Rounds
Francis Marshall won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2022·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcelo Rojo: Pressure fightervsFrancis Marshall: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Marcelo Rojo wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Francis Marshall wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Marshall has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marcelo Rojo
Red Corner
VS
Francis Marshall
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
37
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcelo RojoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Charles Jourdain · Mar 21L
SUBvs Kyler Phillips · Feb 22Francis Marshall
oldest →latest
L
vs William Gomis · Apr 23L
KOvs Isaac Dulgarian · Aug 23W
vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 24L
vs Mairon Santos · Mar 25W
SUBvs Erik Silva · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcelo RojoMetricFrancis Marshall
4.92
Strikes / min
3.19
6.42
Strikes absorbed / min
3.45
55%
Strike defense
55%
0.46
TDs / 15 min
2.71
66%
Takedown defense
88%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.50Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcelo RojoFrancis Marshall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcelo Rojo(3 fights)Francis Marshall(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-30.530.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Marcelo Rojo
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3
Francis Marshall
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6