Lightweight
3 Rounds
Stevie Ray won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 11, 2015·Krakow, Poland, Poland
Model Prediction: Marcin Bandel wins(60.7%)
Actual result: Stevie Ray wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stevie Ray has 31pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stevie Ray has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Bandel
Red Corner
VS
Stevie Ray
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin Bandel
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mairbek Taisumov · Oct 14Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin BandelMetricStevie Ray
0.79
Strikes / min
3.73
5.26
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
23%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.75
0%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-4.47Δ 5.27 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin BandelStevie Ray
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Bandel(2 fights)Stevie Ray(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.618.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Marcin Bandel
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11