Lightweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Held won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 21, 2017·Gdansk, Poland, Poland
Style matchupMarcin Held: WrestlervsNasrat Haqparast: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Marcin Held wins(64.5%)
Actual result: Marcin Held wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcin Held enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Held
Red Corner
VS
Nasrat Haqparast
Blue Corner
-355
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
34
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin HeldL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Diego Sanchez · Nov 16L
vs Joe Lauzon · Jan 17L
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · May 17Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →latest
W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24W
vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin HeldMetricNasrat Haqparast
1.41
Strikes / min
6.36
2.02
Strikes absorbed / min
6.00
47%
Strike defense
63%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
0.34
37%
Takedown defense
86%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.61evenly matched on net striking+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin HeldNasrat Haqparast
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Held(4 fights)Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-52.752.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.748.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Marcin Held
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Nasrat Haqparast
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15