Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Prachnio won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 26, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Prachnio: StrikervsIke Villanueva: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Marcin Prachnio wins(51.0%)
Actual result: Marcin Prachnio wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcin Prachnio has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ike Villanueva has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Prachnio
Red Corner
VS
Ike Villanueva
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
37
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23W
vs Devin Clark · Feb 24L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25Ike VillanuevaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chase Sherman · May 20L
KOvs Jordan Wright · Aug 20W
KOvs Vinicius Moreira · Jan 21L
KOvs Nicolae Negumereanu · Oct 21L
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin PrachnioMetricIke Villanueva
5.52
Strikes / min
3.66
3.15
Strikes absorbed / min
7.24
54%
Strike defense
36%
0.14
TDs / 15 min
0.60
53%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.37Δ 5.95 — meaningful gap-3.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin PrachnioIke Villanueva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)Ike Villanueva(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.112.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-3.03.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Marcin Prachnio
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11
Ike Villanueva
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6