Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mike Rodriguez won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, August 22, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Prachnio: StrikervsMike Rodriguez: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Mike Rodriguez wins(61.4%)
Actual result: Mike Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marcin Prachnio has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marcin Prachnio has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Rodriguez (53.5%).
- Mike Rodriguez has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Prachnio
Red Corner
VS
Mike Rodriguez
Blue Corner
+188
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23W
vs Devin Clark · Feb 24L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25Mike RodriguezL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Adam Milstead · Dec 18L
vs Da Un Jung · Dec 19L
SUBvs Ed Herman · Sep 20L
SUBvs Danilo Marques · Feb 21L
vs Tafon Nchukwi · Sep 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin PrachnioMetricMike Rodriguez
5.52
Strikes / min
4.35
3.15
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
54%
Strike defense
41%
0.14
TDs / 15 min
0.00
53%
Takedown defense
37%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.37Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin PrachnioMike Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)Mike Rodriguez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.215.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+462.0-462.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Marcin Prachnio
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11
Mike Rodriguez
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights7