Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Philipe Lins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 23, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Prachnio: StrikervsPhilipe Lins: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Marcin Prachnio wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Philipe Lins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Philipe Lins enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Philipe Lins has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Philipe Lins has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Prachnio
Red Corner
VS
Philipe Lins
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
37
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23W
vs Devin Clark · Feb 24L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25Philipe LinsW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · May 20L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 20W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Feb 23W
vs Maxim Grishin · Jun 23W
vs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin PrachnioMetricPhilipe Lins
5.52
Strikes / min
3.80
3.15
Strikes absorbed / min
3.59
54%
Strike defense
46%
0.14
TDs / 15 min
1.65
53%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.37Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap+0.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin PrachnioPhilipe Lins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)Philipe Lins(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.5-16.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-364.0364.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Marcin Prachnio
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11
Philipe Lins
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6