Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Tybura won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 20, 2022·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Tybura: Well-roundedvsAlexandr Romanov: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Alexandr Romanov wins(55.4%)
Actual result: Marcin Tybura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcin Tybura has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexandr Romanov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Alexandr Romanov
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Alexandr Romanov
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Apr 22L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 23W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · Jun 24W
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricAlexandr Romanov
3.56
Strikes / min
3.78
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
2.13
55%
Strike defense
54%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
4.49
70%
Takedown defense
28%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin TyburaAlexandr Romanov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Alexandr Romanov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.417.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24
Alexandr Romanov
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10