Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Tybura won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Tybura: Well-roundedvsBlagoy Ivanov: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Marcin Tybura wins(67.8%)
Actual result: Marcin Tybura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Blagoy Ivanov (53.5%).
- Marcin Tybura has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Blagoy Ivanov
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
40
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'11"
198.12 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Blagoy Ivanov
oldest →latest
W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Jun 19L
vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 19L
vs Augusto Sakai · May 20W
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 22L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricBlagoy Ivanov
3.56
Strikes / min
3.25
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
4.20
55%
Strike defense
53%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.69
70%
Takedown defense
61%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap-0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin TyburaBlagoy Ivanov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Blagoy Ivanov(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+48.9-48.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24
Blagoy Ivanov
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8