Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Tybura won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, December 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Tybura: Well-roundedvsGreg Hardy: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Marcin Tybura wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Marcin Tybura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Greg Hardy is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Marcin Tybura has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Greg Hardy
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
40
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
198.12 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Greg HardyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alekander Volkov · Nov 19W
vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Jul 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricGreg Hardy
3.56
Strikes / min
4.79
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
55%
Strike defense
55%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.20
70%
Takedown defense
64%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin TyburaGreg Hardy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Greg Hardy(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.2-7.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24
Greg Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9