Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Tybura won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 16, 2024·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Tybura: Well-roundedvsJhonata Diniz: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Jhonata Diniz wins(52.3%)
Actual result: Marcin Tybura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Jhonata Diniz
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
40
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Mar 24L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Jhonata Diniz
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Austen Lane · Apr 24W
vs Karl Williams · Aug 24W
vs Alvin Hines · Jun 25L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricJhonata Diniz
3.56
Strikes / min
3.89
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
55%
Strike defense
56%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
70%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin TyburaJhonata Diniz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Jhonata Diniz(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.4-26.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24
Jhonata Diniz
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5