Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Serghei Spivac won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 10, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Tybura: Well-roundedvsSerghei Spivac: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Marcin Tybura wins(59.1%)
Actual result: Serghei Spivac wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Serghei Spivac
Blue Corner
+124
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
40
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Mar 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Serghei Spivac
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 23L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25L
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25W
vs Ante Delija · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricSerghei Spivac
3.56
Strikes / min
3.57
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
55%
Strike defense
52%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
3.82
70%
Takedown defense
63%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin TyburaSerghei Spivac
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Serghei Spivac(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.4-24.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-196.0196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24
Serghei Spivac
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15