Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Shamil Abdurakhimov won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 20, 2019·Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia, Russia
Model Prediction: Marcin Tybura wins(68.7%)
Actual result: Shamil Abdurakhimov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marcin Tybura has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
40
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 18L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricShamil Abdurakhimov
3.56
Strikes / min
2.41
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
55%
Strike defense
55%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
1.01
70%
Takedown defense
45%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin TyburaShamil Abdurakhimov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.89.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+55.0-55.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24
Shamil Abdurakhimov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights11