Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Tybura won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, July 22, 2018·Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Germany
Style matchupMarcin Tybura: Well-roundedvsStefan Struve: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Marcin Tybura wins(58.7%)
Actual result: Marcin Tybura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stefan Struve is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Marcin Tybura has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Marcin Tybura has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stefan Struve has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Stefan Struve
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
40
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'11"
198.12 cm
Reach
213.36 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Stefan StruveL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 17L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricStefan Struve
3.56
Strikes / min
3.12
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
55%
Strike defense
46%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.56
70%
Takedown defense
55%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin TyburaStefan Struve
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Stefan Struve(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+13.0-13.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24
Stefan Struve
StanceOrthodox
Height83.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights20