Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tyrell Fortune won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 28, 2026·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcin Tybura: Well-roundedvsTyrell Fortune: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Marcin Tybura wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Tyrell Fortune wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyrell Fortune has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Tyrell Fortune
Blue Corner
-104
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-122
(55%)
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin Tybura
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Mar 24L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25Tyrell FortuneNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricTyrell Fortune
3.56
Strikes / min
2.00
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.13
55%
Strike defense
57%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
3.00
70%
Takedown defense
100%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-1.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcin TyburaTyrell Fortune
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Tyrell Fortune(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+62.7-62.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24
Tyrell Fortune
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1