Middleweight
3 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Warlley Alves won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2014·Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Warlley Alves wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Warlley Alves wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marcio Alexandre Junior (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marcio Alexandre Junior
Red Corner
VS
Warlley Alves
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
37
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcio Alexandre JuniorL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tim Means · Dec 14L
vs Court McGee · Dec 15Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcio Alexandre JuniorMetricWarlley Alves
1.61
Strikes / min
3.04
2.89
Strikes absorbed / min
3.95
42%
Strike defense
50%
0.35
TDs / 15 min
1.22
66%
Takedown defense
62%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.28evenly matched on net striking-0.91
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcio Alexandre Junior(3 fights)Warlley Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Marcio Alexandre Junior
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3
Warlley Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16