Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marco Beltran won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 15, 2014·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Marco Beltran wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Marco Beltran wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marco Beltran has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marlon Vera has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Marco Beltran
Red Corner
VS
Marlon Vera
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
40
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marco BeltranL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ning Guangyou · Nov 15W
SUBvs Reginaldo Vieira · Jul 16L
SUBvs Joe Soto · Nov 16L
vs Matt Schnell · Oct 17Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marco BeltranMetricMarlon Vera
2.07
Strikes / min
4.18
1.93
Strikes absorbed / min
5.34
63%
Strike defense
50%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.47
46%
Takedown defense
71%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.14Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-1.16
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marco Beltran(5 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Marco Beltran
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5
Marlon Vera
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26