Middleweight
3 Rounds
Marco Tulio won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 11, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarco Tulio: Elusive strikervsIhor Potieria: Pressure fighter
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Marco Tulio wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Marco Tulio wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marco Tulio is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ihor Potieria has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Ihor Potieria has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ihor Potieria (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marco Tulio
Red Corner
VS
Ihor Potieria
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+385
(21%)
31
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marco Tulio
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tresean Gore · Apr 25L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Nov 25Ihor PotieriaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 23L
KOvs Rodolfo Bellato · Dec 23W
vs Robert Bryczek · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michel Pereira · May 24L
vs Cesar Almeida · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marco TulioMetricIhor Potieria
6.02
Strikes / min
4.44
2.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.96
56%
Strike defense
50%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
0.73
0%
Takedown defense
66%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.05Δ 3.57 — meaningful gap-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marco TulioIhor Potieria
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marco Tulio(3 fights)Ihor Potieria(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.5-37.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Marco Tulio
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3
Ihor Potieria
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8