Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 20, 2014·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins(64.8%)
Actual result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Igor Pokrajac enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marcos Rogerio de Lima has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Red Corner
VS
Igor Pokrajac
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+400
(20%)
40
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24Igor PokrajacL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabio Maldonado · May 12L
SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12L
vs Ryan Jimmo · Jun 13L
vs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcos Rogerio de LimaMetricIgor Pokrajac
3.70
Strikes / min
2.25
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
4.26
51%
Strike defense
40%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
0.87
59%
Takedown defense
51%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 2.81 — meaningful gap-2.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcos Rogerio de LimaIgor Pokrajac
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.8-20.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-203.0203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Igor Pokrajac
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10