Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2017·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins(64.9%)
Actual result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jeremy Kimball has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jeremy Kimball (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Kimball
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24Jeremy KimballL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Stansbury · Jun 17L
SUBvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 17L
KOvs Darko Stosic · Jul 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcos Rogerio de LimaMetricJeremy Kimball
3.70
Strikes / min
2.81
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.84
51%
Strike defense
49%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
1.41
59%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcos Rogerio de LimaJeremy Kimball
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)Jeremy Kimball(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.5-11.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Jeremy Kimball
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4