Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 17, 2024·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupMarcos Rogerio de Lima: Well-roundedvsJunior Tafa: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins(60.3%)
Actual result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Red Corner
VS
Junior Tafa
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
40
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Nov 21L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23Junior TafaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Parker Porter · Aug 23L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Aug 24W
KOvs Sean Sharaf · Oct 24L
SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · Jul 25L
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcos Rogerio de LimaMetricJunior Tafa
3.70
Strikes / min
3.62
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
2.66
51%
Strike defense
51%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
0.00
59%
Takedown defense
72%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcos Rogerio de LimaJunior Tafa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)Junior Tafa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.6-25.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Junior Tafa
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7