Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2014·Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins(71.6%)
Actual result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Richardson Moreira has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Richardson Moreira has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Richardson Moreira has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Red Corner
VS
Richardson Moreira
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
40
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24Richardson Moreira
oldest →latest
L
vs Ildemar Alcantara · Jan 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcos Rogerio de LimaMetricRichardson Moreira
3.70
Strikes / min
1.17
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
1.83
51%
Strike defense
67%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
0.00
59%
Takedown defense
100%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-0.66
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)Richardson Moreira(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Richardson Moreira
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach—
Fights2