Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ali Bagautinov won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, September 4, 2013·Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Marcos Vinicius wins(65.6%)
Actual result: Ali Bagautinov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ali Bagautinov has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Marcos Vinicius has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marcos Vinicius
Red Corner
VS
Ali Bagautinov
Blue Corner
+315
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-345
(78%)
46
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'4"
177.8 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcos Vinicius
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Wagner Campos · Jun 12L
KOvs Johnny Bedford · Dec 12Ali Bagautinov
oldest →latest
W
vs John Lineker · Feb 14L
vs Demetrious Johnson · Jun 14L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Oct 15W
vs Geane Herrera · Jun 16L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcos ViniciusMetricAli Bagautinov
1.93
Strikes / min
2.85
2.91
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
47%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.51
25%
Takedown defense
65%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98evenly matched on net striking-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marcos ViniciusAli Bagautinov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcos Vinicius(3 fights)Ali Bagautinov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Marcos Vinicius
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights3
Ali Bagautinov
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7