Featherweight
3 Rounds
Marcos Vinicius won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 23, 2012·Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Marcos Vinicius wins(67.8%)
Actual result: Marcos Vinicius wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcos Vinicius has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Wagner Campos (53.5%).
- Marcos Vinicius has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marcos Vinicius
Red Corner
VS
Wagner Campos
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
168 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcos ViniciusL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Johnny Bedford · Dec 12L
KOvs Ali Bagautinov · Sep 13Wagner CamposNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcos ViniciusMetricWagner Campos
1.93
Strikes / min
1.54
2.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
47%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.71
25%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98evenly matched on net striking-0.99
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcos Vinicius(3 fights)Wagner Campos(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Marcos Vinicius
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights3
Wagner Campos
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach—
Fights1