Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcus Brimage has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Brimage (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcus BrimageL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Apr 13W
KOvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Nov 14L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jan 15L
KOvs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 15 Russell Doane
oldest →L
vs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 15L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Jul 16L
SUBvs Mirsad Bektic · Oct 16W
KOvs Kwan Ho Kwak · Jun 17L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Feb 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcus BrimageMetricRussell Doane
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcus BrimageRussell Doane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcus Brimage(8 fights)Russell Doane(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -136.1|Blue +136.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +273.0|Blue -273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcus BrimageTargetRussell Doane
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Russell Doane edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 2Russell Doane edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:16
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:35Control
Round 3Marcus Brimage edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control0:15
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
