Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Spann won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1487
Elo1502
Marcus BuchechavsRyan Spann
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Ryan Spann wins(58.5%)
Scouting Report
- Ryan Spann has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marcus Buchecha
Ryan Spann
—
Vegas Odds
—
1487
1502
36
34
Orthodox
Orthodox
6'2"
6'5"
195.58 cm
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Marcus Buchecha
oldest →
vs Martin Buday · Jul 25
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Dec 25
latestRyan Spann
oldest →
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Marcus BuchechaMetricRyan Spann
1.59
Strikes / min
3.11
2.15
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
50%
Strike defense
43%
2.02
TDs / 15 min
1.21
0%
Takedown defense
59%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Marcus BuchechaRyan Spann
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Marcus Buchecha
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3
Ryan Spann
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights17