Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Maria Oliveira won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2022·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupMaria Oliveira: Pressure fightervsGloria de Paula: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Maria Oliveira wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Maria Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Maria Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gloria de Paula has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gloria de Paula has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Maria Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Gloria de Paula
Blue Corner
+235
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
29
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Maria OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Oct 21L
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Nov 22L
vs Diana Belbita · Jun 23Gloria de Paula
oldest →latest
L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Mar 21L
KOvs Cheyanne Buys · Jul 21W
vs Diana Belbita · Feb 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Maria OliveiraMetricGloria de Paula
5.03
Strikes / min
4.89
5.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
44%
Strike defense
66%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
0.74
47%
Takedown defense
65%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.73Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Maria OliveiraGloria de Paula
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Maria Oliveira(4 fights)Gloria de Paula(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.20.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Maria Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Gloria de Paula
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4