Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
Amanda Lemos won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarina Rodriguez: Well-roundedvsAmanda Lemos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Marina Rodriguez wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Amanda Lemos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marina Rodriguez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marina Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Amanda Lemos
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marina RodriguezL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Virna Jandiroba · May 23W
KOvs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Sep 23L
vs Jessica Andrade · Apr 24L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Oct 24L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · May 25Amanda LemosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25L
vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marina RodriguezMetricAmanda Lemos
4.51
Strikes / min
2.75
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
55%
Strike defense
45%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
1.02
61%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.50Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marina RodriguezAmanda Lemos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marina Rodriguez(10 fights)Amanda Lemos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.0-21.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Marina Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13
Amanda Lemos
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15