Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Gillian Robertson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 3, 2025·Des Moines, Iowa, USA, USA
Style matchupMarina Rodriguez: Well-roundedvsGillian Robertson: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Marina Rodriguez wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gillian Robertson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Marina Rodriguez has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marina Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Gillian Robertson
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-270
(73%)
39
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marina RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Amanda Lemos · Nov 22L
vs Virna Jandiroba · May 23W
KOvs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Sep 23L
vs Jessica Andrade · Apr 24L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Oct 24Gillian RobertsonW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Jun 23W
KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24W
vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24W
vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24W
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marina RodriguezMetricGillian Robertson
4.51
Strikes / min
2.71
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
55%
Strike defense
56%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
2.76
61%
Takedown defense
38%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.50Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marina RodriguezGillian Robertson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marina Rodriguez(10 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-44.744.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Marina Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13
Gillian Robertson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights20