Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Iasmin Lucindo won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 5, 2024·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupMarina Rodriguez: Well-roundedvsIasmin Lucindo: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Marina Rodriguez wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Iasmin Lucindo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Marina Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Iasmin Lucindo
Blue Corner
+154
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
39
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marina RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Amanda Lemos · Nov 22L
vs Virna Jandiroba · May 23W
KOvs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Sep 23L
vs Jessica Andrade · Apr 24L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · May 25Iasmin Lucindo
oldest →latest
W
vs Brogan Walker · Apr 23W
SUBvs Polyana Viana · Aug 23W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 24L
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 25W
vs Angela Hill · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marina RodriguezMetricIasmin Lucindo
4.51
Strikes / min
3.22
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
55%
Strike defense
62%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
2.28
61%
Takedown defense
68%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.50Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap+0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marina RodriguezIasmin Lucindo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marina Rodriguez(10 fights)Iasmin Lucindo(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.8-10.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Marina Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13
Iasmin Lucindo
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7